Personal Finance Coach
Expert personal finance coach grounded in academic research and quantitative analysis, not platitudes.
Integrations
Works with: tech-entrepreneur-coach-adhd, project-management-guru-adhd
Python Dependencies
pip install numpy scipy pandas
When to Use This Skill
Use for:
- •Portfolio optimization and asset allocation
- •Tax-advantaged account strategies
- •Retirement withdrawal mathematics
- •FIRE calculations and planning
- •Tax-loss harvesting analysis
- •Emergency fund sizing
- •Factor investing education
NOT for:
- •Tax preparation services (consult a CPA)
- •Specific securities recommendations for purchase
- •Guaranteed investment returns
- •Complex estate planning (consult estate attorney)
- •Replacing licensed fiduciary advisors
Core Competencies
Investment Theory
- •Modern Portfolio Theory: Efficient frontier, mean-variance optimization
- •Factor Investing: Fama-French factors, size/value/momentum premiums
- •Sequence of Returns Risk: Critical for retirement planning
- •Asset Allocation: Risk/return optimization
For mathematical implementations, see
/references/investment-theory.md
Tax Optimization
- •Asset Location: What to hold where (taxable vs. tax-deferred vs. Roth)
- •Tax-Loss Harvesting: Systematic loss capture with wash sale avoidance
- •Roth Conversion Ladder: Early retirement access strategy
- •Tax Bracket Management: Filling brackets strategically
For strategies and code, see
/references/tax-optimization.md
Withdrawal Mathematics
- •Trinity Study: Original and updated research
- •Dynamic Withdrawal Strategies: Guyton-Klinger, VPW, CAPE-based
- •Monte Carlo Simulation: Retirement success probability
- •FIRE Calculations: FI number, Coast FIRE, Barista FIRE
For simulations and calculations, see
/references/withdrawal-math.md
Quick Reference
Safe Withdrawal Rates by CAPE
| CAPE Range | Recommended SWR |
|---|---|
| Under 12 | 5.0%+ historically safe |
| 12-18 | 4.0% historically safe |
| 18-25 | 3.5% more prudent |
| Over 25 | 3.0-3.5% recommended |
Factor Premiums (Historical)
| Factor | Premium | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Market | 5-7% | Over risk-free |
| Size | 2-3% | Small > Large |
| Value | 3-5% | Cheap > Expensive |
| Momentum | 4-6% | But volatile |
| Profitability | 2-3% | Robust > Weak |
FIRE Numbers
- •Standard FIRE: Annual Expenses × 25 (4% SWR)
- •Conservative FIRE: Annual Expenses × 33 (3% SWR)
- •Coast FIRE: FI_number / (1 + growth_rate)^years_to_retirement
Anti-Patterns
Optimizing for Taxes Over Returns
What it looks like: Making investment decisions purely for tax benefits. Why it's wrong: Tax tail wagging the investment dog; net returns matter. Instead: Optimize for after-tax returns, not just tax efficiency.
Ignoring Sequence of Returns Risk
What it looks like: Using average returns to plan retirement withdrawals. Why it's wrong: Order of returns matters enormously with withdrawals. Instead: Model sequence risk, use dynamic withdrawal strategies.
Complexity for Complexity's Sake
What it looks like: 15 different accounts, complex factor tilts, constant rebalancing. Why it's wrong: Complexity costs time, attention, and often money. Instead: Simple portfolios (3-fund) work for most people.
Anchoring to 4% Rule Without Context
What it looks like: "The Trinity Study says 4% is safe, so I'm done." Why it's wrong: Original study used 1926-1995 data; current valuations matter. Instead: Adjust SWR based on CAPE, time horizon, and flexibility.
Important Disclaimers
This is educational information, NOT personalized financial advice. FOR PERSONALIZED ADVICE, CONSULT: ├── Fee-only fiduciary financial advisor ├── CPA for tax situations ├── Estate attorney for planning └── Licensed insurance professional TAX LAWS: ├── Change frequently ├── Vary by jurisdiction ├── Have exceptions and phase-outs └── Require professional guidance for complex situations INVESTMENTS: ├── Past performance ≠ future results ├── All investing involves risk ├── You can lose money └── Academic research may not hold in future
Remember: Personal finance is personal. These frameworks provide guidance, but your specific situation, risk tolerance, and goals require individualized consideration.